Australian Open

Gauff, Fritz, Paul, Pegula? Which American will advance furthest at the Australian Open?

There are five Americans ranked in the WTA Top 20, another five in the ATP Top 22—giving our editors plenty of choices.



HIGHLIGHTS: Sebastian Korda scores winning return from elbow surgery in Adelaide over Davidovich Fokina5:02

Will an American win the Australian Open? If not, which U.S. player will go deepest? Check out the men's and women's draws and read what our experts think below:

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 04: Coco Gauff of the United States in action against Karolina Muchova of the Czech Republic during the semi-final on Day 9 of the 2025 United Cup at Ken Rosewall Arena on January 04, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images)
© 2025 Robert Prange

Peter Bodo: Coco Gauff. It’s simple: she's the gold standard in U.S. tennis—along with Taylor Fritz on the men's side—and her recent consistency demands respect.

Franziska Bruells: Tommy Paul. The 27-year-old performed well in the week leading up to the Australian Open in Adelaide, and knows what it takes to go deep in Melbourne, having reached the semifinals in 2023.

Liya Davidov: Coco Gauff is my predicted AO champion, so I’m sticking with her through and through.

Joel Drucker: Coco Gauff: Great mix of experience, confidence, skill.

Matthew Fitzgerald: Coco Gauff, as I picked her to run the table.

David Kane: Tommy Paul. Both Gauff and Fritz are ostensibly better set up for success, but I can’t help but pick Paul, a former semifinalist who won’t have to worry about Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the third round. The No. 12 seed could take advantage of a section anchored by a Casper Ruud, who has historically underperformed Down Under.

Stephanie Livaudais: Coco Gauff has been working on her serve, and the results are a boost in confidence in the form of a seven-match winning streak, dating back to her 2024 WTA Finals victory.

Ed McGrogan: Taylor Fritz has reached the quarterfinals or better at the last three hard-court majors, and now holds a coveted Top 4 seed. Going further than the semis, where Sinner likely awaits, may be too tall a task, but the unflappable No. 1 will still have to content with a high-speed game—and an opponent playing with nothing to lose.

Emma Storey: Coco Gauff: she is in the form of her life following her performances at the WTA Finals and United Cup, as well as having defeated both Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek in recent months.

Steve Tignor: Coco Gauff. There are some good players in her quarter—Jessica Pegula, Karolina Muchova, Paula Badosa, Jelena Ostapenko—but she's won a major, been to the semis in Melbourne, and is in strong form.