Most Likely To Earn a Top 10 Debut: Elena Rybakina and Taylor Fritz

After recording the most impressive seasons of their careers in 2021, these players look set to take their place among the game’s elite.



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WTA: Elena Rybakina

Born in Russia but pledged to Kazakhstan, the 22-year-old possesses some of the cleanest technique on tour, calmly producing a ground game that is as aesthetic as it can be intimidating. Rybakina was on track for a breakout 2020, with 21 wins in the first two months of the season—including a title in Hobart and runner-up finishes in St. Petersburg and Dubai—before the lockdown rattled her rhythm.

She played back into form last year just in time for a headline-grabbing run at Roland Garros, where she outplayed Serena Williams en route to the quarterfinals. Unemotional as ever, Rybakina hardly cracked a smile.

PARIS, FRANCE - JUNE 06: Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan celebrates after winning her Women's Singles fourth round match against Serena Williams of USA on day eight of the 2021 French Open at Roland Garros on June 06, 2021 in Paris, France. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)
© 2021 Getty Images

“Everybody laughs about my reactions,” she admitted after the match, “but I mean, for me it’s much easier like this, not to show any reactions.

“I’m a really calm person, but on top of this, all my nerves inside sometimes is good. Sometimes of course it’s not, because to hold everything inside it’s not possible. One day it’s going to explode, and who knows when, so it’s dangerous for other people, especially close ones.”

The closest Rybakina came to exploding was at Wimbledon in a loss to Aryna Sabalenka, but she rebounded to play phenomenal tennis at the Olympics, falling just short of a medal. Earning a career-high ranking of No. 14 in November, Rybakina can easily hit her way through the small gap between herself and the Top 10, which would surely be something to smile about.

INDIAN WELLS, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 12: Taylor Fritz of the United States celebrates match point against Matteo Berrettini of Italy during their third round match on Day 9 of the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden on October 12, 2021 in Indian Wells, California.  (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
© 2021 Getty Images

ATP: Taylor Fritz

At 24 years old, Fritz is all grown up—a father off the court, and having finally converted his junior pedigree into pro success to finish 2021 as the top-ranked American. But he still believes his best is still to come.

“I know that I will probably be playing my best tennis when I’m somewhere between 26 to 30 years old,” he predicted at the BNP Paribas Open. “So I’m just trying to work as hard as I can, put myself in as many opportunities as I can to have big weeks, breakthroughs.”

One such breakthrough came at Indian Wells: seeded 31st, Fritz scored wins over Matteo Berrettini, Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev, surviving the world No. 3 in a deciding-set tiebreaker to reach the semifinals.

“You can’t practice those situations,” Fritz said in post-match press. “You just have to trust yourself, trust what you’re doing. The best thing you can do off the court is just put the practice in, put the work in so you can trust yourself as much as you possibly can in those situations.”

Not just mentally strong, Fritz showed near-bionic durability to recover from mid-season knee surgery to surge back even better this fall, reaching a second Masters quarterfinal in Paris and the St. Petersburg final.

Flanked by contemporaries like Reilly Opelka, Tommy Paul and Frances Tiafoe, Fritz’s all-court game combines the best of his peers, and he will begin the new season on the brink of a Top 20 debut, with momentum to spare.