Wimbledon

Three to See, Wimbledon Day 8: Will Barty and Kerber ride major experience to a semifinal showdown?

Plus, which player wins this dynamic quarterfinal on Tuesday at the All England Club: Aryna Sabalenka or Ons Jabeur?



MATCH POINT: A. Kerber def. C. Gauff; Wimbledon 4R0:50
WATCH: Kerber closes out Gauff in the round of 16

Angelique Kerber vs. Karolina Muchova

“I think she’s a really tricky opponent,” Kerber said when she was asked about facing Muchova. It’s true, Muchova doesn’t look spectacular. She doesn’t hit the cover off the ball or wow you with her speed. But she does everything well. She plays the net, uses different spins, knows how to build points, and doesn’t typically beat herself. As a former quarterfinalist at Wimbledon, she also knows her way around a grass court. Kerber has won both of their previous meetings, but, as she pointed out, neither came on this surface. Muchova is also nine years younger than Kerber, which may make a difference on the second day of back-to-back matches.

Still, Kerber is the player who has won the title here before, and if she can dictate points with her angles and gets Muchova moving corner to corner, the way she did against Coco Gauff, she’s the favorite. Winner: Kerber

LONDON, ENGLAND - JULY 05: Angelique Kerber of Germany celebrates victory after winning her Ladies' Singles Fourth Round match against Coco Gauff of The United States during Day Seven of The Championships - Wimbledon 2021 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club on July 05, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
© Getty Images

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ons Jabeur

Jabeur beat Sabalenka on clay last year; Sabalenka returned the favor on hard courts earlier this season. Now they meet on grass—who has the advantage?

Experience-wise, they’re in roughly the same boat: Sabalenka is making her long-awaited first appearance in a Grand Slam quarterfinal, while Jabeur is making her second. Game-wise, the Belarusian and the Tunisian have much less in common. Sabalenka is a heavy hitter with long strokes; Jabeur, meanwhile, never met a point that she couldn’t break up with a drop shot or a surprising spin. Sabalenka is the better player on an average day, but Jabeur’s disruptiveness may be just the right antidote for her power. Winner: Jabeur

LONDON, ENGLAND - JULY 05: Ons Jabeur of Tunisia runs to play a forehand in her Ladies' Singles Fourth Round match against Iga Swiatek of Poland during Day Seven of The Championships - Wimbledon 2021 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club on July 05, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
© 2021 Getty Images

Ash Barty vs. Ajla Tomljanovic

On the minus side, Tomljanovic will have less than 24 hours rest for this match, after beating Emma Raducanu late Monday night. On the plus side, she only needed to play a little more than one set before Raducanu was forced to retire. It has been steady as she goes for Barty, who hasn’t lost a set since the first round, and who ended Barbora Krejcikova’s 15-match win streak on Monday.

Barty and Tomljanovic, despite playing for the same country, have never faced each other. As the top seed and a major champ, Barty will be heavily favored to beat the 75th-ranked Tomljanovic, who will be playing her first Grand Slam quarterfinal. But it might not be so straightforward. Tomljanovic is hitting the ball as forcefully and consistently as she ever has, and Barty has been known to throw in a clunker in the middle rounds at the majors. Winner: Tomljanovic